| Regime Change or Enclave Creation in Libya? |
|
(Huffington Post) I think the need for action to prevent a routing of the rebels/population of the East is important at a humanitarian level. But considering the location of Gaddafi's forces does this new alliance have assets in place to prevent the fall of Benghazi? Libya's surprise announcement of a ceasefire and a halt to operations suggests that the resolution has succeeded in warning Gaddafi off risking such a move.
At a tactical level the superior technology (Typhoons and Mirages against aging MiGs and perhaps one old Mirage) should ensure that the gaining of air supremacy should not be the hardest part. In addition over a longer term Gaddafi's response to limitations on its sovereignty are unpredictable. Remember Gaddafi in the past was responsible for the largest ever arms shipment that the IRA received and of course the blew up Pan Am plane over Lockerbie. Over the past week Gaddafi promised that "If the world gets crazy with us, we will get crazy too. We will respond. We will make their lives hell because they are making our lives hell. They will never have peace." In short the near term impacts of the resolution may appear clear but as long as Gaddafi remains in power the medium/long term impact of this decision could have a host of impacts that we have yet to discover or predict. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
| >Visit BBC | >Visit The Guardian | >Visit Huffington Post |
| Share |
Share this page on Facebook
|
|
Retweet article to Twitter |
If you would like to contact me regarding anything on this site please